Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.408654 0.481530 0.561799 0.656515 0.764959 0.884967 1.027543
2024-10-20 0.289651 0.383667 0.497837 0.645576 0.830454 1.052828 1.339061
2024-10-27 0.216517 0.317753 0.451500 0.638567 0.890440 1.214432 1.658700
2024-11-03 0.173616 0.278737 0.428111 0.651266 0.970574 1.404432 2.030363
2024-11-10 0.141372 0.246367 0.405698 0.658044 1.038780 1.581007 2.397699
2024-11-17 0.116396 0.218968 0.384347 0.660533 1.097471 1.746100 2.760452
2024-11-24 0.098664 0.199231 0.370634 0.670916 1.166467 1.929476 3.162422
2024-12-01 0.083287 0.180119 0.354174 0.673223 1.220932 2.093210 3.545650
2024-12-08 0.067302 0.156273 0.325169 0.649279 1.228080 2.181219 3.815754
2024-12-15 0.060164 0.148321 0.323460 0.672487 1.316164 2.405153 4.317281
2024-12-22 0.053375 0.139600 0.318705 0.688926 1.393086 2.615405 4.810088
2024-12-29 0.050041 0.137797 0.327231 0.731237 1.520018 2.919151 5.478654
2025-01-05 0.042491 0.124776 0.311059 0.723855 1.555800 3.070460 5.904001
2025-01-12 0.035956 0.112696 0.294915 0.714338 1.586424 3.215006 6.328408
2025-01-19 0.030661 0.102469 0.281096 0.707591 1.621204 3.368917 6.778997
2025-01-26 0.027380 0.096926 0.277232 0.721841 1.699344 3.608704 7.400331
2025-02-02 0.024180 0.090782 0.270836 0.729396 1.763974 3.826902 7.994968
2025-02-09 0.021193 0.084470 0.262893 0.732173 1.818362 4.028535 8.570310
2025-02-16 0.018957 0.079946 0.258823 0.743557 1.892215 4.273202 9.241917
2025-02-23 0.016676 0.074603 0.251578 0.746089 1.946361 4.481502 9.854773
2025-03-02 0.013789 0.066154 0.233972 0.719884 1.932298 4.548695 10.193184
2025-03-09 0.012799 0.064546 0.236082 0.745288 2.040446 4.877224 11.072146
2025-03-16 0.011700 0.062172 0.235463 0.763276 2.132448 5.177153 11.909029